2026-11-04
The next release will keep $125 billion
This note reads one U.S. Treasury publication and keeps one offering-size figure as the claim for the next quarterly refunding statement. It is not a forecast of yields, closing prices, or share prices, and it is not investment advice.
What was published
The official sentence that contains the figure is quoted once: "The U.S. Department of the Treasury is offering $125 billion of Treasury securities to refund approximately $97 billion of privately-held Treasury notes and bonds maturing on November 15, 2026."
The typed claim is $125 billion. This site will compare that claim with the next quarterly refunding statement. A later score of 1 means the claim appears in that later text. A later score of 0 means it does not. Until a later publication arrives, the score stays empty. A score on this page is not a solicitation to buy or sell a security.
A later first official print either contains the typed figure or it does not. A revision of that print does not change the score. A figure this text already contains is a restatement, and this note does not count that restatement as a new forecast.
The publisher types one figure and quotes one official sentence. The rest of the official text stays on the source page. This note does not say which way a yield, a closing level, or a share price will move.
Official source: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0678
The previous typed claim "$125 billion" scored 1 against this publication.
What this note expects
$125 billion
How this site keeps a score
Each note types one figure from one official publication and quotes one sentence so the figure can be checked. A later first print either contains that figure or it does not. The rest of the official text is not republished. A restatement of a figure already in the prior text is not a new forecast. This site does not predict a yield, a closing level, or a share price.
How firm that expectation is
The view from here is the wording of the official text. It is not a view on yields, closing prices, or share prices, and it is not investment advice.
A later text contains the figure. That record is not the note.